Apple's (AAPL) share price closed the week of April 27 at $280.37 on Friday, May 1, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the $280-$285 bin as traders' skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the verified outcome. This strong positioning stems from the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings beat released April 30, with EPS of $2.01 topping estimates of $1.96, revenue of $111.2 billion exceeding $109.7 billion forecasts, record services growth to $31 billion (up 16% year-over-year), superior gross margins, a $100 billion buyback authorization, and upbeat June quarter guidance for 14-17% revenue expansion despite supply constraints. After six months of stagnation around $270, the post-earnings 3.4% surge from April 30's $271.35 close underscores renewed momentum, with negligible resolution risks barring rare oracle discrepancies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$280-$285 100.0%
<$250 <1%
$250-$255 <1%
$255-$260 <1%
$34,645 거래량
$34,645 거래량
2026.05.01
<$250
No
$250-$255
No
$255-$260
No
$260-$265
No
$265-$270
No
$270-$275
No
$275-$280
No
$280-$285
Yes
$285-$290
No
$290-$295
No
>$295
No
$280-$285 100.0%
<$250 <1%
$250-$255 <1%
$255-$260 <1%
$34,645 거래량
$34,645 거래량
2026.05.01
<$250
$1,012 거래량
No
$250-$255
$427 거래량
No
$255-$260
$330 거래량
No
$260-$265
$353 거래량
No
$265-$270
$283 거래량
No
$270-$275
$485 거래량
No
$275-$280
$15,924 거래량
No
$280-$285
$14,584 거래량
Yes
$285-$290
$348 거래량
No
$290-$295
$349 거래량
No
>$295
$550 거래량
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's (AAPL) share price closed the week of April 27 at $280.37 on Friday, May 1, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the $280-$285 bin as traders' skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the verified outcome. This strong positioning stems from the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings beat released April 30, with EPS of $2.01 topping estimates of $1.96, revenue of $111.2 billion exceeding $109.7 billion forecasts, record services growth to $31 billion (up 16% year-over-year), superior gross margins, a $100 billion buyback authorization, and upbeat June quarter guidance for 14-17% revenue expansion despite supply constraints. After six months of stagnation around $270, the post-earnings 3.4% surge from April 30's $271.35 close underscores renewed momentum, with negligible resolution risks barring rare oracle discrepancies.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: Apr 24, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
거래량
$34,645종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 24, 2026, 6:01 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's (AAPL) share price closed the week of April 27 at $280.37 on Friday, May 1, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the $280-$285 bin as traders' skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the verified outcome. This strong positioning stems from the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings beat released April 30, with EPS of $2.01 topping estimates of $1.96, revenue of $111.2 billion exceeding $109.7 billion forecasts, record services growth to $31 billion (up 16% year-over-year), superior gross margins, a $100 billion buyback authorization, and upbeat June quarter guidance for 14-17% revenue expansion despite supply constraints. After six months of stagnation around $270, the post-earnings 3.4% surge from April 30's $271.35 close underscores renewed momentum, with negligible resolution risks barring rare oracle discrepancies.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$34,645종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 24, 2026, 6:01 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Apple's (AAPL) share price closed the week of April 27 at $280.37 on Friday, May 1, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the $280-$285 bin as traders' skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the verified outcome. This strong positioning stems from the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings beat released April 30, with EPS of $2.01 topping estimates of $1.96, revenue of $111.2 billion exceeding $109.7 billion forecasts, record services growth to $31 billion (up 16% year-over-year), superior gross margins, a $100 billion buyback authorization, and upbeat June quarter guidance for 14-17% revenue expansion despite supply constraints. After six months of stagnation around $270, the post-earnings 3.4% surge from April 30's $271.35 close underscores renewed momentum, with negligible resolution risks barring rare oracle discrepancies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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