Trader consensus prices a 72% implied probability on "No" for an AWS service disruption classified as "disrupted" on the AWS Health Dashboard by April 30, reflecting robust operational resilience following early March 2026 incidents in Middle East regions. Iranian drone and missile strikes damaged data centers in Bahrain (me-south-1) and UAE (me-central-1), causing power failures, fires, and outages for services like Amazon EC2, S3, and DynamoDB across multiple availability zones—yet AWS mitigated via workload migrations to unaffected regions, with recovery ongoing but no new "disrupted" events logged since. Minor Downdetector spikes in early April tied to those areas or isolated issues like CodeBuild, underscoring contained regional risks amid stable global cloud infrastructure; traders eye potential Middle East escalation as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.04.30
신규
신규
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus prices a 72% implied probability on "No" for an AWS service disruption classified as "disrupted" on the AWS Health Dashboard by April 30, reflecting robust operational resilience following early March 2026 incidents in Middle East regions. Iranian drone and missile strikes damaged data centers in Bahrain (me-south-1) and UAE (me-central-1), causing power failures, fires, and outages for services like Amazon EC2, S3, and DynamoDB across multiple availability zones—yet AWS mitigated via workload migrations to unaffected regions, with recovery ongoing but no new "disrupted" events logged since. Minor Downdetector spikes in early April tied to those areas or isolated issues like CodeBuild, underscoring contained regional risks amid stable global cloud infrastructure; traders eye potential Middle East escalation as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
거래량
$5,608종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus prices a 72% implied probability on "No" for an AWS service disruption classified as "disrupted" on the AWS Health Dashboard by April 30, reflecting robust operational resilience following early March 2026 incidents in Middle East regions. Iranian drone and missile strikes damaged data centers in Bahrain (me-south-1) and UAE (me-central-1), causing power failures, fires, and outages for services like Amazon EC2, S3, and DynamoDB across multiple availability zones—yet AWS mitigated via workload migrations to unaffected regions, with recovery ongoing but no new "disrupted" events logged since. Minor Downdetector spikes in early April tied to those areas or isolated issues like CodeBuild, underscoring contained regional risks amid stable global cloud infrastructure; traders eye potential Middle East escalation as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
거래량
$5,608종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 72% implied probability on "No" for an AWS service disruption classified as "disrupted" on the AWS Health Dashboard by April 30, reflecting robust operational resilience following early March 2026 incidents in Middle East regions. Iranian drone and missile strikes damaged data centers in Bahrain (me-south-1) and UAE (me-central-1), causing power failures, fires, and outages for services like Amazon EC2, S3, and DynamoDB across multiple availability zones—yet AWS mitigated via workload migrations to unaffected regions, with recovery ongoing but no new "disrupted" events logged since. Minor Downdetector spikes in early April tied to those areas or isolated issues like CodeBuild, underscoring contained regional risks amid stable global cloud infrastructure; traders eye potential Middle East escalation as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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