Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude balances, driving sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter of 2026 according to EIA data. These factors have supported WTI prices near $89–$94 per barrel as of early June, well above longer-term forecasts despite a pullback from April peaks. Persistent Middle East shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in recent months continue to limit downside pressure into month-end, while gradual production recovery and any shipping resumption signals could ease backwardation later in the quarter. Traders are closely monitoring weekly EIA stockpile reports, OPEC+ output decisions, and ceasefire progress as near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between sustained risk premiums and normalization expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 말 ___ 이상의 원유 (CL)?
6월 말 ___ 이상의 원유 (CL)?
$129,858 거래량
2026.06.30
$90
57%
$85
60%
80달러
67%
$75
82%
$70
92%
$65
92%
$63
95%
$60
98%
$56
98%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$129,858 거래량
$90
$25,987 거래량
57%
$85
$5,879 거래량
60%
80달러
$5,954 거래량
67%
$75
$16,769 거래량
82%
$70
$19,629 거래량
92%
$65
$872 거래량
92%
$63
$8,987 거래량
95%
$60
$23,485 거래량
98%
$56
$4,950 거래량
98%
$55
$2,914 거래량
98%
$52
$6,332 거래량
99%
$50
$8,100 거래량
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude balances, driving sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter of 2026 according to EIA data. These factors have supported WTI prices near $89–$94 per barrel as of early June, well above longer-term forecasts despite a pullback from April peaks. Persistent Middle East shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in recent months continue to limit downside pressure into month-end, while gradual production recovery and any shipping resumption signals could ease backwardation later in the quarter. Traders are closely monitoring weekly EIA stockpile reports, OPEC+ output decisions, and ceasefire progress as near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between sustained risk premiums and normalization expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$129,858종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude balances, driving sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter of 2026 according to EIA data. These factors have supported WTI prices near $89–$94 per barrel as of early June, well above longer-term forecasts despite a pullback from April peaks. Persistent Middle East shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in recent months continue to limit downside pressure into month-end, while gradual production recovery and any shipping resumption signals could ease backwardation later in the quarter. Traders are closely monitoring weekly EIA stockpile reports, OPEC+ output decisions, and ceasefire progress as near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between sustained risk premiums and normalization expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
거래량
$129,858종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETGeopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude balances, driving sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter of 2026 according to EIA data. These factors have supported WTI prices near $89–$94 per barrel as of early June, well above longer-term forecasts despite a pullback from April peaks. Persistent Middle East shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in recent months continue to limit downside pressure into month-end, while gradual production recovery and any shipping resumption signals could ease backwardation later in the quarter. Traders are closely monitoring weekly EIA stockpile reports, OPEC+ output decisions, and ceasefire progress as near-term catalysts that could shift the balance between sustained risk premiums and normalization expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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