Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, centered on U.S.-Iran tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil (CL) futures pricing ahead of end-June settlement. These factors have triggered sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA projecting an average 8.5 million barrels per day decline in Q2 2026 that has supported prices near $90–$91 per barrel despite recent volatility and a pullback from April peaks above $110. Trader positioning reflects the balance between persistent risk premiums and expectations for gradual production recovery and shipping resumption later in the month, alongside weekly U.S. inventory reports and any progress on ceasefire talks that could ease backwardation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 말 ___ 이상의 원유 (CL)?
6월 말 ___ 이상의 원유 (CL)?
$127,441 거래량
2026.06.30
$90
52%
$85
60%
80달러
67%
$75
82%
$70
91%
$65
92%
$63
95%
$60
95%
$56
96%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$127,441 거래량
$90
$25,987 거래량
52%
$85
$5,879 거래량
60%
80달러
$5,954 거래량
67%
$75
$16,769 거래량
82%
$70
$19,629 거래량
91%
$65
$872 거래량
92%
$63
$8,987 거래량
95%
$60
$21,068 거래량
95%
$56
$4,950 거래량
96%
$55
$2,914 거래량
98%
$52
$6,332 거래량
99%
$50
$8,100 거래량
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, centered on U.S.-Iran tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil (CL) futures pricing ahead of end-June settlement. These factors have triggered sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA projecting an average 8.5 million barrels per day decline in Q2 2026 that has supported prices near $90–$91 per barrel despite recent volatility and a pullback from April peaks above $110. Trader positioning reflects the balance between persistent risk premiums and expectations for gradual production recovery and shipping resumption later in the month, alongside weekly U.S. inventory reports and any progress on ceasefire talks that could ease backwardation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$127,441종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, centered on U.S.-Iran tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil (CL) futures pricing ahead of end-June settlement. These factors have triggered sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA projecting an average 8.5 million barrels per day decline in Q2 2026 that has supported prices near $90–$91 per barrel despite recent volatility and a pullback from April peaks above $110. Trader positioning reflects the balance between persistent risk premiums and expectations for gradual production recovery and shipping resumption later in the month, alongside weekly U.S. inventory reports and any progress on ceasefire talks that could ease backwardation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
거래량
$127,441종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETGeopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, centered on U.S.-Iran tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil (CL) futures pricing ahead of end-June settlement. These factors have triggered sharp global inventory draws, with the EIA projecting an average 8.5 million barrels per day decline in Q2 2026 that has supported prices near $90–$91 per barrel despite recent volatility and a pullback from April peaks above $110. Trader positioning reflects the balance between persistent risk premiums and expectations for gradual production recovery and shipping resumption later in the month, alongside weekly U.S. inventory reports and any progress on ceasefire talks that could ease backwardation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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