Anthropic’s Claude Code agent continues to accelerate GitHub activity through mid-June 2026, positioning the 750k+ commit bucket as the market favorite at 39.5% implied probability. Internal data show Claude authoring over 80% of merges at Anthropic itself by May, while external adoption reached roughly 4% of public commits earlier in the year with analysts projecting 20%+ by year-end. Recent catalysts include the May Code with Claude developer event unveiling multi-agent orchestration and dynamic workflows, plus the June 9 release of Mythos-class models Fable 5 and Mythos 5 optimized for large-scale coding tasks. Upcoming June 15 pricing adjustments separating agent usage from core subscriptions could further boost programmatic commits before month-end, though infrastructure scaling limits remain a modest uncertainty for the highest buckets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트750.0k+ 41%
650.0-700.0k 21.9%
550.0-600.0k 13%
700.0-750.0k 11.8%
<500.0k
7%
500.0-550.0k
12%
550.0-600.0k
13%
600.0-650.0k
12%
650.0-700.0k
14%
700.0-750.0k
12%
750.0k+
40%
750.0k+ 41%
650.0-700.0k 21.9%
550.0-600.0k 13%
700.0-750.0k 11.8%
<500.0k
7%
500.0-550.0k
12%
550.0-600.0k
13%
600.0-650.0k
12%
650.0-700.0k
14%
700.0-750.0k
12%
750.0k+
40%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
마켓 개설일: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude Code agent continues to accelerate GitHub activity through mid-June 2026, positioning the 750k+ commit bucket as the market favorite at 39.5% implied probability. Internal data show Claude authoring over 80% of merges at Anthropic itself by May, while external adoption reached roughly 4% of public commits earlier in the year with analysts projecting 20%+ by year-end. Recent catalysts include the May Code with Claude developer event unveiling multi-agent orchestration and dynamic workflows, plus the June 9 release of Mythos-class models Fable 5 and Mythos 5 optimized for large-scale coding tasks. Upcoming June 15 pricing adjustments separating agent usage from core subscriptions could further boost programmatic commits before month-end, though infrastructure scaling limits remain a modest uncertainty for the highest buckets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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