Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 87.7% implied probability for Clavicular—real name Braden Eric Peters, the controversial looksmaxxing streamer—facing another arrest by April 30, reflecting no new legal developments since his March 26 misdemeanor battery arrest on a prior warrant, which resolved without escalation. Recent catalysts tempering odds include his April 14 suspected overdose during a Miami bar livestream, leading to hospitalization but swift release home without charges, followed by public vows to quit substances and tweak streaming habits amid entourage fallout like PR rep Mitchell Jackson's exit and a failed paternal intervention. With just under two weeks left, traders price in stabilized behavior despite spotted clubbing, viewing rapid viral recovery as reducing re-arrest risk absent fresh incidents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Clavicular arrested again by April 30?
Clavicular arrested again by April 30?
신규
신규
2026.04.30
신규
신규
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 87.7% implied probability for Clavicular—real name Braden Eric Peters, the controversial looksmaxxing streamer—facing another arrest by April 30, reflecting no new legal developments since his March 26 misdemeanor battery arrest on a prior warrant, which resolved without escalation. Recent catalysts tempering odds include his April 14 suspected overdose during a Miami bar livestream, leading to hospitalization but swift release home without charges, followed by public vows to quit substances and tweak streaming habits amid entourage fallout like PR rep Mitchell Jackson's exit and a failed paternal intervention. With just under two weeks left, traders price in stabilized behavior despite spotted clubbing, viewing rapid viral recovery as reducing re-arrest risk absent fresh incidents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
거래량
$6,087종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 87.7% implied probability for Clavicular—real name Braden Eric Peters, the controversial looksmaxxing streamer—facing another arrest by April 30, reflecting no new legal developments since his March 26 misdemeanor battery arrest on a prior warrant, which resolved without escalation. Recent catalysts tempering odds include his April 14 suspected overdose during a Miami bar livestream, leading to hospitalization but swift release home without charges, followed by public vows to quit substances and tweak streaming habits amid entourage fallout like PR rep Mitchell Jackson's exit and a failed paternal intervention. With just under two weeks left, traders price in stabilized behavior despite spotted clubbing, viewing rapid viral recovery as reducing re-arrest risk absent fresh incidents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$6,087종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 87.7% implied probability for Clavicular—real name Braden Eric Peters, the controversial looksmaxxing streamer—facing another arrest by April 30, reflecting no new legal developments since his March 26 misdemeanor battery arrest on a prior warrant, which resolved without escalation. Recent catalysts tempering odds include his April 14 suspected overdose during a Miami bar livestream, leading to hospitalization but swift release home without charges, followed by public vows to quit substances and tweak streaming habits amid entourage fallout like PR rep Mitchell Jackson's exit and a failed paternal intervention. With just under two weeks left, traders price in stabilized behavior despite spotted clubbing, viewing rapid viral recovery as reducing re-arrest risk absent fresh incidents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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