With semi-final running orders unveiled on April 2 for the Vienna-hosted Eurovision Song Contest (May 12-16 at Wiener Stadthalle), trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") at around 80% implied probability for top 10, alongside Israel (Noam Bettan, "Michelle"), Denmark (Søren Torpegaard, "Før vi går hjem"), and France (Monroe, "Regarde!") above 70%, driven by dominant Spotify streams, OGAE poll leads, and Nordic ballad momentum echoing past successes. Israel's televote strength persists despite December boycotts by Ireland, Netherlands, Spain, Slovenia, and Iceland. Upcoming rehearsals and pre-parties could spark shifts before qualifiers lock in the 25 finalists.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$366,723 거래량
Finland
90%
Israel
85%
France
82%
Denmark
79%
Australia
77%
Greece
77%
Ukraine
76%
Sweden
75%
Italy
63%
Romania
61%
Moldova
41%
Cyprus
38%
Bulgaria
37%
Czechia
33%
Malta
28%
Latvia
26%
Croatia
22%
Norway
17%
Albania
16%
Lithuania
15%
Serbia
13%
Armenia
13%
Luxembourg
12%
United Kingdom
11%
Germany
9%
Switzerland
9%
Belgium
7%
Poland
6%
Montenegro
6%
Estonia
6%
Portugal
6%
Georgia
5%
Azerbaijan
4%
San Marino
3%
Austria
3%
$366,723 거래량
Finland
90%
Israel
85%
France
82%
Denmark
79%
Australia
77%
Greece
77%
Ukraine
76%
Sweden
75%
Italy
63%
Romania
61%
Moldova
41%
Cyprus
38%
Bulgaria
37%
Czechia
33%
Malta
28%
Latvia
26%
Croatia
22%
Norway
17%
Albania
16%
Lithuania
15%
Serbia
13%
Armenia
13%
Luxembourg
12%
United Kingdom
11%
Germany
9%
Switzerland
9%
Belgium
7%
Poland
6%
Montenegro
6%
Estonia
6%
Portugal
6%
Georgia
5%
Azerbaijan
4%
San Marino
3%
Austria
3%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With semi-final running orders unveiled on April 2 for the Vienna-hosted Eurovision Song Contest (May 12-16 at Wiener Stadthalle), trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") at around 80% implied probability for top 10, alongside Israel (Noam Bettan, "Michelle"), Denmark (Søren Torpegaard, "Før vi går hjem"), and France (Monroe, "Regarde!") above 70%, driven by dominant Spotify streams, OGAE poll leads, and Nordic ballad momentum echoing past successes. Israel's televote strength persists despite December boycotts by Ireland, Netherlands, Spain, Slovenia, and Iceland. Upcoming rehearsals and pre-parties could spark shifts before qualifiers lock in the 25 finalists.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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