Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "No" at 63.5% implied probability that Ye (formerly Kanye West) will face an entry block from another country by June 30, driven by the absence of confirmed follow-up bans after the U.K. Home Office's April 7 denial over his history of antisemitic remarks, which canceled his Wireless Festival headline slot. France's Marseille concert—originally set for June—was voluntarily postponed amid mayor statements deeming him "not welcome" and interior ministry review, but no formal visa revocation occurred. Building on Australia's prior 2025 ban, traders eye his announced TOUR 2026 dates in India (late May), Turkey (May 30), and Netherlands (June 6) as key tests, with no fresh controversies escalating scrutiny yet. High uncertainty persists given volatile public sentiment and government discretion in celebrity visa cases.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.06.30
신규
신규
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "No" at 63.5% implied probability that Ye (formerly Kanye West) will face an entry block from another country by June 30, driven by the absence of confirmed follow-up bans after the U.K. Home Office's April 7 denial over his history of antisemitic remarks, which canceled his Wireless Festival headline slot. France's Marseille concert—originally set for June—was voluntarily postponed amid mayor statements deeming him "not welcome" and interior ministry review, but no formal visa revocation occurred. Building on Australia's prior 2025 ban, traders eye his announced TOUR 2026 dates in India (late May), Turkey (May 30), and Netherlands (June 6) as key tests, with no fresh controversies escalating scrutiny yet. High uncertainty persists given volatile public sentiment and government discretion in celebrity visa cases.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
거래량
$461종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "No" at 63.5% implied probability that Ye (formerly Kanye West) will face an entry block from another country by June 30, driven by the absence of confirmed follow-up bans after the U.K. Home Office's April 7 denial over his history of antisemitic remarks, which canceled his Wireless Festival headline slot. France's Marseille concert—originally set for June—was voluntarily postponed amid mayor statements deeming him "not welcome" and interior ministry review, but no formal visa revocation occurred. Building on Australia's prior 2025 ban, traders eye his announced TOUR 2026 dates in India (late May), Turkey (May 30), and Netherlands (June 6) as key tests, with no fresh controversies escalating scrutiny yet. High uncertainty persists given volatile public sentiment and government discretion in celebrity visa cases.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$461종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "No" at 63.5% implied probability that Ye (formerly Kanye West) will face an entry block from another country by June 30, driven by the absence of confirmed follow-up bans after the U.K. Home Office's April 7 denial over his history of antisemitic remarks, which canceled his Wireless Festival headline slot. France's Marseille concert—originally set for June—was voluntarily postponed amid mayor statements deeming him "not welcome" and interior ministry review, but no formal visa revocation occurred. Building on Australia's prior 2025 ban, traders eye his announced TOUR 2026 dates in India (late May), Turkey (May 30), and Netherlands (June 6) as key tests, with no fresh controversies escalating scrutiny yet. High uncertainty persists given volatile public sentiment and government discretion in celebrity visa cases.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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