Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Elon Musk a commanding 90.5% implied probability of remaining the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, anchored by his unprecedented $800 billion-plus net worth—roughly triple that of runner-up Larry Page—per Forbes and Bloomberg rankings as of early April. This dominance solidified after SpaceX's February acquisition of xAI, valuing the merged entity at $1.25 trillion and boosting Musk's stakes in Tesla, SpaceX, and AI ventures amid steady stock gains. With eight months left, upsets would require catastrophic Tesla/SpaceX plunges from market crashes or regulations, or explosive surges for challengers like Jensen Huang (Nvidia AI boom) or Larry Ellison (Oracle growth), though historical precedents favor stability for such leads.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 12월 31일 가장 부유한 사람?
2026년 12월 31일 가장 부유한 사람?
엘론 머스크 91%
워런 버핏 1.6%
젠슨 황 1.5%
마크 저커버그 1.4%
$1,557,346 거래량
$1,557,346 거래량
2026.12.31
엘론 머스크
91%
워런 버핏
2%
젠슨 황
2%
마크 저커버그
1%
스티브 발머
1%
래리 엘리슨
1%
베르나르 아르노
1%
제프 베조스
1%
래리 페이지
1%
세르게이 브린
1%
엘론 머스크 91%
워런 버핏 1.6%
젠슨 황 1.5%
마크 저커버그 1.4%
$1,557,346 거래량
$1,557,346 거래량
2026.12.31
엘론 머스크
$125,705 거래량
91%
워런 버핏
$81,872 거래량
2%
젠슨 황
$119,196 거래량
2%
마크 저커버그
$118,062 거래량
1%
스티브 발머
$260,581 거래량
1%
래리 엘리슨
$49,319 거래량
1%
베르나르 아르노
$283,452 거래량
1%
제프 베조스
$323,406 거래량
1%
래리 페이지
$131,857 거래량
1%
세르게이 브린
$63,895 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Elon Musk a commanding 90.5% implied probability of remaining the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, anchored by his unprecedented $800 billion-plus net worth—roughly triple that of runner-up Larry Page—per Forbes and Bloomberg rankings as of early April. This dominance solidified after SpaceX's February acquisition of xAI, valuing the merged entity at $1.25 trillion and boosting Musk's stakes in Tesla, SpaceX, and AI ventures amid steady stock gains. With eight months left, upsets would require catastrophic Tesla/SpaceX plunges from market crashes or regulations, or explosive surges for challengers like Jensen Huang (Nvidia AI boom) or Larry Ellison (Oracle growth), though historical precedents favor stability for such leads.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
거래량
$1,557,346종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Elon Musk a commanding 90.5% implied probability of remaining the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, anchored by his unprecedented $800 billion-plus net worth—roughly triple that of runner-up Larry Page—per Forbes and Bloomberg rankings as of early April. This dominance solidified after SpaceX's February acquisition of xAI, valuing the merged entity at $1.25 trillion and boosting Musk's stakes in Tesla, SpaceX, and AI ventures amid steady stock gains. With eight months left, upsets would require catastrophic Tesla/SpaceX plunges from market crashes or regulations, or explosive surges for challengers like Jensen Huang (Nvidia AI boom) or Larry Ellison (Oracle growth), though historical precedents favor stability for such leads.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
거래량
$1,557,346종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Elon Musk a commanding 90.5% implied probability of remaining the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, anchored by his unprecedented $800 billion-plus net worth—roughly triple that of runner-up Larry Page—per Forbes and Bloomberg rankings as of early April. This dominance solidified after SpaceX's February acquisition of xAI, valuing the merged entity at $1.25 trillion and boosting Musk's stakes in Tesla, SpaceX, and AI ventures amid steady stock gains. With eight months left, upsets would require catastrophic Tesla/SpaceX plunges from market crashes or regulations, or explosive surges for challengers like Jensen Huang (Nvidia AI boom) or Larry Ellison (Oracle growth), though historical precedents favor stability for such leads.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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