Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX as the first major tech IPO before year-end 2026, with market-implied odds at 95% following its confidential SEC filing on April 1 targeting a mid-year listing at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever. This fresh catalyst outpaces rivals like Cerebras (92%) and WHOOP (91%), amid Discord's stalled progress since its January confidential filing and Databricks' preparatory $1.8 billion debt raise and $134 billion funding round in early 2026 without an S-1 yet. Regulatory reviews, market volatility from mega-IPOs, and SpaceX's Starship milestones could influence timelines, with resolution hinging on official exchange listings by December 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$5,774,700 거래량
2026.12.31
스페이스X
95%
Cerebras
92%
디스코드
56%
Anthropic
53%
WHOOP
47%
오픈AI
38%
원격
37%
SHEIN
27%
레저
24%
프레디 맥
24%
Deel
23%
Canva
23%
에픽 게임즈
20%
Databricks
19%
Ramp
17%
Applied Intuition
16%
미스트랄 AI
16%
리플링
15%
패니메이
15%
리플 랩스
14%
Celonis
13%
웨이모
13%
바이트댄스
12%
Revolut
12%
Vanta
11%
Glean
11%
Stripe
11%
Anysphere(커서)
10%
Anduril Industries
9%
Anduril
9%
Brex
4%
$5,774,700 거래량
스페이스X
$507,389 거래량
95%
Cerebras
$286,312 거래량
92%
디스코드
$439,907 거래량
56%
Anthropic
$183,156 거래량
53%
WHOOP
$50 거래량
47%
오픈AI
$214,022 거래량
38%
원격
$52,640 거래량
37%
SHEIN
$77,147 거래량
27%
레저
$497,637 거래량
24%
프레디 맥
$234,398 거래량
24%
Deel
$120,272 거래량
23%
Canva
$24,074 거래량
23%
에픽 게임즈
$70,829 거래량
20%
Databricks
$462,019 거래량
19%
Ramp
$141,149 거래량
17%
Applied Intuition
$189,144 거래량
16%
미스트랄 AI
$146,745 거래량
16%
리플링
$108,536 거래량
15%
패니메이
$159,026 거래량
15%
리플 랩스
$136,516 거래량
14%
Celonis
$198,561 거래량
13%
웨이모
$44,871 거래량
13%
바이트댄스
$8,829 거래량
12%
Revolut
$51,180 거래량
12%
Vanta
$123,170 거래량
11%
Glean
$43,256 거래량
11%
Stripe
$242,513 거래량
11%
Anysphere(커서)
$91,582 거래량
10%
Anduril Industries
$28,549 거래량
9%
Anduril
$347,125 거래량
9%
Brex
$183,435 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX as the first major tech IPO before year-end 2026, with market-implied odds at 95% following its confidential SEC filing on April 1 targeting a mid-year listing at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever. This fresh catalyst outpaces rivals like Cerebras (92%) and WHOOP (91%), amid Discord's stalled progress since its January confidential filing and Databricks' preparatory $1.8 billion debt raise and $134 billion funding round in early 2026 without an S-1 yet. Regulatory reviews, market volatility from mega-IPOs, and SpaceX's Starship milestones could influence timelines, with resolution hinging on official exchange listings by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
거래량
$5,774,700종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX as the first major tech IPO before year-end 2026, with market-implied odds at 95% following its confidential SEC filing on April 1 targeting a mid-year listing at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever. This fresh catalyst outpaces rivals like Cerebras (92%) and WHOOP (91%), amid Discord's stalled progress since its January confidential filing and Databricks' preparatory $1.8 billion debt raise and $134 billion funding round in early 2026 without an S-1 yet. Regulatory reviews, market volatility from mega-IPOs, and SpaceX's Starship milestones could influence timelines, with resolution hinging on official exchange listings by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$5,774,700종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX as the first major tech IPO before year-end 2026, with market-implied odds at 95% following its confidential SEC filing on April 1 targeting a mid-year listing at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever. This fresh catalyst outpaces rivals like Cerebras (92%) and WHOOP (91%), amid Discord's stalled progress since its January confidential filing and Databricks' preparatory $1.8 billion debt raise and $134 billion funding round in early 2026 without an S-1 yet. Regulatory reviews, market volatility from mega-IPOs, and SpaceX's Starship milestones could influence timelines, with resolution hinging on official exchange listings by December 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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