Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (93% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—later upped above $2 trillion—alongside a planned June roadshow and potential summer listing. Surging private valuations from recent tender offers (nearing $1.2 trillion in secondary markets), Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to broadband internet dominance, Starship's rapid reusability milestones, and a February xAI merger enhancing AI-space synergies underpin this positioning. While market volatility, regulatory hurdles for orbital operations, or Starship test setbacks could pressure pricing lower, the skin-in-the-game crowd sees few barriers to blockbuster scale before 2028.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1조+ 93%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음 3.1%
9,000억–1조 1.2%
5,000억 미만 <1%
$3,059,564 거래량
$3,059,564 거래량
2027.12.31
5,000억 미만
<1%
5,000억~6,000억
<1%
6,000억–7,000억
<1%
7,000억–8,000억
<1%
8,000억–9,000억
<1%
9,000억–1조
1%
1조+
93%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
3%
1조+ 93%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음 3.1%
9,000억–1조 1.2%
5,000억 미만 <1%
$3,059,564 거래량
$3,059,564 거래량
2027.12.31
5,000억 미만
$352,279 거래량
<1%
5,000억~6,000억
$279,845 거래량
<1%
6,000억–7,000억
$244,131 거래량
<1%
7,000억–8,000억
$275,878 거래량
<1%
8,000억–9,000억
$445,660 거래량
<1%
9,000억–1조
$378,954 거래량
1%
1조+
$542,450 거래량
93%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
$540,367 거래량
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (93% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—later upped above $2 trillion—alongside a planned June roadshow and potential summer listing. Surging private valuations from recent tender offers (nearing $1.2 trillion in secondary markets), Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to broadband internet dominance, Starship's rapid reusability milestones, and a February xAI merger enhancing AI-space synergies underpin this positioning. While market volatility, regulatory hurdles for orbital operations, or Starship test setbacks could pressure pricing lower, the skin-in-the-game crowd sees few barriers to blockbuster scale before 2028.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
거래량
$3,059,564종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (93% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—later upped above $2 trillion—alongside a planned June roadshow and potential summer listing. Surging private valuations from recent tender offers (nearing $1.2 trillion in secondary markets), Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to broadband internet dominance, Starship's rapid reusability milestones, and a February xAI merger enhancing AI-space synergies underpin this positioning. While market volatility, regulatory hurdles for orbital operations, or Starship test setbacks could pressure pricing lower, the skin-in-the-game crowd sees few barriers to blockbuster scale before 2028.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$3,059,564종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (93% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—later upped above $2 trillion—alongside a planned June roadshow and potential summer listing. Surging private valuations from recent tender offers (nearing $1.2 trillion in secondary markets), Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to broadband internet dominance, Starship's rapid reusability milestones, and a February xAI merger enhancing AI-space synergies underpin this positioning. While market volatility, regulatory hurdles for orbital operations, or Starship test setbacks could pressure pricing lower, the skin-in-the-game crowd sees few barriers to blockbuster scale before 2028.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문