Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53% implied probability for Anthropic achieving a higher valuation than OpenAI at any point through December 31, 2026, reflecting closely balanced sentiment amid Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate by early April—surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion—fueled by enterprise demand for Claude's coding agents. OpenAI's March $122 billion funding round cemented an $852 billion post-money valuation, more than double Anthropic's $380 billion from February, but investor scrutiny mounts over its enterprise pivot and perceived valuation premium requiring a $1.2 trillion-plus IPO to justify. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, secondary market trading dynamics, and 2026 IPO timelines for both firms.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53% implied probability for Anthropic achieving a higher valuation than OpenAI at any point through December 31, 2026, reflecting closely balanced sentiment amid Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate by early April—surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion—fueled by enterprise demand for Claude's coding agents. OpenAI's March $122 billion funding round cemented an $852 billion post-money valuation, more than double Anthropic's $380 billion from February, but investor scrutiny mounts over its enterprise pivot and perceived valuation premium requiring a $1.2 trillion-plus IPO to justify. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, secondary market trading dynamics, and 2026 IPO timelines for both firms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
거래량
$73종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53% implied probability for Anthropic achieving a higher valuation than OpenAI at any point through December 31, 2026, reflecting closely balanced sentiment amid Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate by early April—surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion—fueled by enterprise demand for Claude's coding agents. OpenAI's March $122 billion funding round cemented an $852 billion post-money valuation, more than double Anthropic's $380 billion from February, but investor scrutiny mounts over its enterprise pivot and perceived valuation premium requiring a $1.2 trillion-plus IPO to justify. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, secondary market trading dynamics, and 2026 IPO timelines for both firms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$73종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53% implied probability for Anthropic achieving a higher valuation than OpenAI at any point through December 31, 2026, reflecting closely balanced sentiment amid Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate by early April—surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion—fueled by enterprise demand for Claude's coding agents. OpenAI's March $122 billion funding round cemented an $852 billion post-money valuation, more than double Anthropic's $380 billion from February, but investor scrutiny mounts over its enterprise pivot and perceived valuation premium requiring a $1.2 trillion-plus IPO to justify. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, secondary market trading dynamics, and 2026 IPO timelines for both firms.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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