SpaceX commands 89.5% implied probability as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at over $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially history's biggest—after merging with Elon Musk's xAI in February. The deal blends SpaceX's dominant Starlink satellite constellation, eyeing $20 billion in 2026 revenue, with xAI's foundational AI models, fueling trader consensus on unmatched scale amid sparse IPO activity from rivals. xAI holds 25.5% residual odds amid integration risks, while Anthropic (3.4%) and OpenAI (3.3%) lack filings or timelines. Watch for roadshows, full S-1 disclosures, and regulatory reviews as pivotal near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트스페이스X 90%
Anthropic 3.4%
오픈AI 3.3%
디스코드 1.5%
$1,713,731 거래량
$1,713,731 거래량
2026.12.31
스페이스X
90%
Anthropic
3%
오픈AI
3%
디스코드
2%
Databricks
1%
스트라이프
<1%
크라켄
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
바이트댄스
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
레볼루트
<1%
웨이모
<1%
스페이스X 90%
Anthropic 3.4%
오픈AI 3.3%
디스코드 1.5%
$1,713,731 거래량
$1,713,731 거래량
2026.12.31
스페이스X
$209,740 거래량
90%
Anthropic
$348,361 거래량
3%
오픈AI
$307,516 거래량
3%
디스코드
$74,419 거래량
2%
Databricks
$73,225 거래량
1%
스트라이프
$40,393 거래량
<1%
크라켄
$376,850 거래량
<1%
Perplexity AI
$55,683 거래량
<1%
바이트댄스
$87,768 거래량
<1%
SHEIN
$57,592 거래량
<1%
레볼루트
$32,533 거래량
<1%
웨이모
$49,651 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX commands 89.5% implied probability as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at over $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially history's biggest—after merging with Elon Musk's xAI in February. The deal blends SpaceX's dominant Starlink satellite constellation, eyeing $20 billion in 2026 revenue, with xAI's foundational AI models, fueling trader consensus on unmatched scale amid sparse IPO activity from rivals. xAI holds 25.5% residual odds amid integration risks, while Anthropic (3.4%) and OpenAI (3.3%) lack filings or timelines. Watch for roadshows, full S-1 disclosures, and regulatory reviews as pivotal near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
거래량
$1,713,731종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX commands 89.5% implied probability as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at over $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially history's biggest—after merging with Elon Musk's xAI in February. The deal blends SpaceX's dominant Starlink satellite constellation, eyeing $20 billion in 2026 revenue, with xAI's foundational AI models, fueling trader consensus on unmatched scale amid sparse IPO activity from rivals. xAI holds 25.5% residual odds amid integration risks, while Anthropic (3.4%) and OpenAI (3.3%) lack filings or timelines. Watch for roadshows, full S-1 disclosures, and regulatory reviews as pivotal near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$1,713,731종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX commands 89.5% implied probability as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at over $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially history's biggest—after merging with Elon Musk's xAI in February. The deal blends SpaceX's dominant Starlink satellite constellation, eyeing $20 billion in 2026 revenue, with xAI's foundational AI models, fueling trader consensus on unmatched scale amid sparse IPO activity from rivals. xAI holds 25.5% residual odds amid integration risks, while Anthropic (3.4%) and OpenAI (3.3%) lack filings or timelines. Watch for roadshows, full S-1 disclosures, and regulatory reviews as pivotal near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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