Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 77.5% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth and blockbuster private valuations. Just weeks after closing a $30 billion Series G round in February at $380 billion post-money, Anthropic rejected investor offers exceeding $800 billion pre-money in mid-April, signaling confidence in a blockbuster public debut as early as Q4 2026 that could raise over $60 billion. Surging annualized revenue to a $30 billion run-rate—tripled in a year via Claude large language model adoption among Fortune 10 enterprises—bolsters this positioning amid a heated race with OpenAI. The 18.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no major delays have emerged; lower valuation buckets trail due to lacking credible counter-narratives. Watch for S-1 filing or banker mandates as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6,000억+ 78%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음 19%
4,000억~6,000억 3.0%
3,000억~4,000억 1.1%
$184,993 거래량
$184,993 거래량
2027.12.31
100B 미만
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
<1%
2,000억~3,000억 달러
<1%
3,000억~4,000억
1%
4,000억~6,000억
3%
6,000억+
78%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음
19%
6,000억+ 78%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음 19%
4,000억~6,000억 3.0%
3,000억~4,000억 1.1%
$184,993 거래량
$184,993 거래량
2027.12.31
100B 미만
$55,792 거래량
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
$50,606 거래량
<1%
2,000억~3,000억 달러
$6,305 거래량
<1%
3,000억~4,000억
$45,243 거래량
1%
4,000억~6,000억
$7,027 거래량
3%
6,000억+
$10,148 거래량
78%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음
$9,873 거래량
19%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 77.5% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth and blockbuster private valuations. Just weeks after closing a $30 billion Series G round in February at $380 billion post-money, Anthropic rejected investor offers exceeding $800 billion pre-money in mid-April, signaling confidence in a blockbuster public debut as early as Q4 2026 that could raise over $60 billion. Surging annualized revenue to a $30 billion run-rate—tripled in a year via Claude large language model adoption among Fortune 10 enterprises—bolsters this positioning amid a heated race with OpenAI. The 18.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no major delays have emerged; lower valuation buckets trail due to lacking credible counter-narratives. Watch for S-1 filing or banker mandates as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
거래량
$184,993종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 77.5% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth and blockbuster private valuations. Just weeks after closing a $30 billion Series G round in February at $380 billion post-money, Anthropic rejected investor offers exceeding $800 billion pre-money in mid-April, signaling confidence in a blockbuster public debut as early as Q4 2026 that could raise over $60 billion. Surging annualized revenue to a $30 billion run-rate—tripled in a year via Claude large language model adoption among Fortune 10 enterprises—bolsters this positioning amid a heated race with OpenAI. The 18.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no major delays have emerged; lower valuation buckets trail due to lacking credible counter-narratives. Watch for S-1 filing or banker mandates as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$184,993종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's potential IPO at 77.5% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth and blockbuster private valuations. Just weeks after closing a $30 billion Series G round in February at $380 billion post-money, Anthropic rejected investor offers exceeding $800 billion pre-money in mid-April, signaling confidence in a blockbuster public debut as early as Q4 2026 that could raise over $60 billion. Surging annualized revenue to a $30 billion run-rate—tripled in a year via Claude large language model adoption among Fortune 10 enterprises—bolsters this positioning amid a heated race with OpenAI. The 18.5% no-IPO-by-2027 odds reflect macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no major delays have emerged; lower valuation buckets trail due to lacking credible counter-narratives. Watch for S-1 filing or banker mandates as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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