OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential filing work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley targeting a potential September 2026 debut, have solidified trader consensus around its 75.5% implied probability of listing first. Recent resolution of the Elon Musk lawsuit removed a key overhang, enabling faster progress compared to Anthropic's ongoing pre-IPO funding round at a near-$1 trillion valuation and later targeted window in Q4 2026 or beyond. Both artificial intelligence labs face similar capital needs for large language model scaling, yet OpenAI's advanced regulatory paperwork and banker engagement create a clearer near-term path, though execution risks like market conditions could still shift timelines for either company.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Anthropic
$63,932 거래량
$63,932 거래량
2027.12.31
Anthropic
$63,932 거래량
$63,932 거래량
2027.12.31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential filing work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley targeting a potential September 2026 debut, have solidified trader consensus around its 75.5% implied probability of listing first. Recent resolution of the Elon Musk lawsuit removed a key overhang, enabling faster progress compared to Anthropic's ongoing pre-IPO funding round at a near-$1 trillion valuation and later targeted window in Q4 2026 or beyond. Both artificial intelligence labs face similar capital needs for large language model scaling, yet OpenAI's advanced regulatory paperwork and banker engagement create a clearer near-term path, though execution risks like market conditions could still shift timelines for either company.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
거래량
$63,932종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential filing work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley targeting a potential September 2026 debut, have solidified trader consensus around its 75.5% implied probability of listing first. Recent resolution of the Elon Musk lawsuit removed a key overhang, enabling faster progress compared to Anthropic's ongoing pre-IPO funding round at a near-$1 trillion valuation and later targeted window in Q4 2026 or beyond. Both artificial intelligence labs face similar capital needs for large language model scaling, yet OpenAI's advanced regulatory paperwork and banker engagement create a clearer near-term path, though execution risks like market conditions could still shift timelines for either company.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$63,932종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential filing work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley targeting a potential September 2026 debut, have solidified trader consensus around its 75.5% implied probability of listing first. Recent resolution of the Elon Musk lawsuit removed a key overhang, enabling faster progress compared to Anthropic's ongoing pre-IPO funding round at a near-$1 trillion valuation and later targeted window in Q4 2026 or beyond. Both artificial intelligence labs face similar capital needs for large language model scaling, yet OpenAI's advanced regulatory paperwork and banker engagement create a clearer near-term path, though execution risks like market conditions could still shift timelines for either company.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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