Anthropic’s recent confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the Securities and Exchange Commission has driven trader consensus toward an 84.5% implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The Claude developer has accelerated preparations through bank discussions and internal structuring, supported by surging revenue run rates near $10 billion and a valuation approaching $965 billion. OpenAI continues working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own prospectus for a potential September or fourth-quarter debut but has not yet submitted confidential materials. Key near-term catalysts include any public S-1 visibility for either firm, regulatory feedback timelines, and shifts in capital needs amid the broader AI funding environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Anthropic
$75,356 거래량
$75,356 거래량
2027.12.31
Anthropic
$75,356 거래량
$75,356 거래량
2027.12.31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s recent confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the Securities and Exchange Commission has driven trader consensus toward an 84.5% implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The Claude developer has accelerated preparations through bank discussions and internal structuring, supported by surging revenue run rates near $10 billion and a valuation approaching $965 billion. OpenAI continues working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own prospectus for a potential September or fourth-quarter debut but has not yet submitted confidential materials. Key near-term catalysts include any public S-1 visibility for either firm, regulatory feedback timelines, and shifts in capital needs amid the broader AI funding environment.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
거래량
$75,356종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s recent confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the Securities and Exchange Commission has driven trader consensus toward an 84.5% implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The Claude developer has accelerated preparations through bank discussions and internal structuring, supported by surging revenue run rates near $10 billion and a valuation approaching $965 billion. OpenAI continues working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own prospectus for a potential September or fourth-quarter debut but has not yet submitted confidential materials. Key near-term catalysts include any public S-1 visibility for either firm, regulatory feedback timelines, and shifts in capital needs amid the broader AI funding environment.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$75,869종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s recent confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the Securities and Exchange Commission has driven trader consensus toward an 84.5% implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The Claude developer has accelerated preparations through bank discussions and internal structuring, supported by surging revenue run rates near $10 billion and a valuation approaching $965 billion. OpenAI continues working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own prospectus for a potential September or fourth-quarter debut but has not yet submitted confidential materials. Key near-term catalysts include any public S-1 visibility for either firm, regulatory feedback timelines, and shifts in capital needs amid the broader AI funding environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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