Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 65.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, driven by late March reports of the AI safety-focused lab actively preparing a Q4 2026 public debut, including hiring Wilson Sonsini for groundwork and bankers pitching a $60 billion raise at over $300 billion valuation. Anthropic's revenue has surged to a $30 billion annual run-rate—tripling in a year via enterprise deals with eight Fortune 10 firms and popular coding agents—bolstering its readiness amid rejected $800 billion private offers signaling IPO prioritization. In contrast, OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings of organizational hurdles and compute overspend risks clashing with CEO Sam Altman's aggressive H2 2026 push, narrowing its revenue lead while inviting investor scrutiny. Watch for S-1 filings or regulatory audits as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Anthropic
$52,599 거래량
$52,599 거래량
2027.12.31
Anthropic
$52,599 거래량
$52,599 거래량
2027.12.31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 65.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, driven by late March reports of the AI safety-focused lab actively preparing a Q4 2026 public debut, including hiring Wilson Sonsini for groundwork and bankers pitching a $60 billion raise at over $300 billion valuation. Anthropic's revenue has surged to a $30 billion annual run-rate—tripling in a year via enterprise deals with eight Fortune 10 firms and popular coding agents—bolstering its readiness amid rejected $800 billion private offers signaling IPO prioritization. In contrast, OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings of organizational hurdles and compute overspend risks clashing with CEO Sam Altman's aggressive H2 2026 push, narrowing its revenue lead while inviting investor scrutiny. Watch for S-1 filings or regulatory audits as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
거래량
$52,599종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 65.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, driven by late March reports of the AI safety-focused lab actively preparing a Q4 2026 public debut, including hiring Wilson Sonsini for groundwork and bankers pitching a $60 billion raise at over $300 billion valuation. Anthropic's revenue has surged to a $30 billion annual run-rate—tripling in a year via enterprise deals with eight Fortune 10 firms and popular coding agents—bolstering its readiness amid rejected $800 billion private offers signaling IPO prioritization. In contrast, OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings of organizational hurdles and compute overspend risks clashing with CEO Sam Altman's aggressive H2 2026 push, narrowing its revenue lead while inviting investor scrutiny. Watch for S-1 filings or regulatory audits as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$52,599종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 65.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, driven by late March reports of the AI safety-focused lab actively preparing a Q4 2026 public debut, including hiring Wilson Sonsini for groundwork and bankers pitching a $60 billion raise at over $300 billion valuation. Anthropic's revenue has surged to a $30 billion annual run-rate—tripling in a year via enterprise deals with eight Fortune 10 firms and popular coding agents—bolstering its readiness amid rejected $800 billion private offers signaling IPO prioritization. In contrast, OpenAI faces headwinds from CFO Sarah Friar's April warnings of organizational hurdles and compute overspend risks clashing with CEO Sam Altman's aggressive H2 2026 push, narrowing its revenue lead while inviting investor scrutiny. Watch for S-1 filings or regulatory audits as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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