Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$76,831 거래량
2026.02.28
25%+
Yes
30%+
Yes
40%+
Yes
50%+
Yes
$76,831 거래량
25%+
$22,655 거래량
Yes
30%+
$12,037 거래량
Yes
40%+
$12,342 거래량
Yes
50%+
$29,798 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
거래량
$76,831종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$76,831종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문