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기술·빅 테크

4월 17일 최고 인공지능 모델은? (스타일 컨트롤 켜짐)

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기술·빅 테크

4월 17일 최고 인공지능 모델은? (스타일 컨트롤 켜짐)

4월 17

4월 17

claude-opus-4-6-thinking 84.5%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview 2.6%

claude-opus-4-6 1.0%

muse-spark 1.0%

Polymarket

$31,019 거래량

claude-opus-4-6-thinking 84.5%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview 2.6%

claude-opus-4-6 1.0%

muse-spark 1.0%

Polymarket

$31,019 거래량

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$19,004 거래량

85%

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

$257 거래량

3%

claude-opus-4-6

$5,540 거래량

1%

muse-spark

$234 거래량

1%

gpt-5.4-high

$1,041 거래량

1%

gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210

$766 거래량

<1%

grok-4.20-beta1

$1,026 거래량

<1%

grok-4.20-beta-0309-reasoning

$655 거래량

<1%

qwen3.5-max-preview

$279 거래량

<1%

claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k

$500 거래량

<1%

gemini-2.5-pro

$252 거래량

<1%

dola-seed-2.0-preview

$529 거래량

<1%

gemini-3-pro

$435 거래량

<1%

gemini-3-flash

$198 거래량

<1%

kimi-k2.5-thinking

$419 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors claude-opus-4-6-thinking at 82.6% implied probability as the top AI model on April 17 under Style Control On settings, driven by its recent ascent to the #1 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard across both text (1502 Elo) and coding (1549 Elo) categories. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking variant overtook rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview—now at 2.5%—following early April 2026 updates that boosted human preference scores in head-to-head battles. This edge stems from enhanced reasoning and code generation capabilities amid fierce competition, though some users report minor regressions in output depth. Gemini trails closely due to ongoing previews, but daily leaderboard volatility and potential new releases from xAI or Meta could shift dynamics before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
거래량
$31,019
종료일
2026.04.17
마켓 개설일
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors claude-opus-4-6-thinking at 82.6% implied probability as the top AI model on April 17 under Style Control On settings, driven by its recent ascent to the #1 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard across both text (1502 Elo) and coding (1549 Elo) categories. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking variant overtook rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview—now at 2.5%—following early April 2026 updates that boosted human preference scores in head-to-head battles. This edge stems from enhanced reasoning and code generation capabilities amid fierce competition, though some users report minor regressions in output depth. Gemini trails closely due to ongoing previews, but daily leaderboard volatility and potential new releases from xAI or Meta could shift dynamics before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
거래량
$31,019
종료일
2026.04.17
마켓 개설일
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"4월 17일 최고 인공지능 모델은? (스타일 컨트롤 켜짐)"은 15개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 85%의 "claude-opus-4-6-thinking"이며, 이어서 3%의 "gemini-3.1-pro-preview"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 85¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 85%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "4월 17일 최고 인공지능 모델은? (스타일 컨트롤 켜짐)"은 총 $31K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Apr 9, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"4월 17일 최고 인공지능 모델은? (스타일 컨트롤 켜짐)"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 15개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"4월 17일 최고 인공지능 모델은? (스타일 컨트롤 켜짐)"의 현재 유력 후보는 85%의 "claude-opus-4-6-thinking"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 85%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 3%의 "gemini-3.1-pro-preview"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"4월 17일 최고 인공지능 모델은? (스타일 컨트롤 켜짐)"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.