Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Morgan Stanley at 44.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster IPO—code-named Project Apex—with Goldman Sachs (26.5%) and Bank of America (18.1%) close behind, driven by the company's recent confidential SEC filing and assembly of a 21-bank syndicate lacking a traditional "lead left" position, opting instead for alphabetical listing. Morgan Stanley's edge stems from December reports naming it the frontrunner, its E*Trade unit's talks to spearhead retail share sales, and a fresh "Space 60" investment guide spotlighting the burgeoning space economy fueled by reusable rockets and Starlink satellite broadband. Recent developments include Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs crafting post-IPO stabilization strategies to curb selloffs, alongside plans for early June roadshows and investor site visits, amid a targeted mid-2026 listing at over $1.5 trillion valuation—though final roles remain fluid pending official disclosures.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트모건 스탠리 45%
골드만삭스 27%
뱅크 오브 아메리카 17.8%
JPMorgan 1.6%
$1,392,718 거래량
$1,392,718 거래량
2027.12.31
모건 스탠리
45%
골드만삭스
27%
뱅크 오브 아메리카
18%
JPMorgan
2%
Citigroup
1%
도이체방크
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
웰스 파고
<1%
모건 스탠리 45%
골드만삭스 27%
뱅크 오브 아메리카 17.8%
JPMorgan 1.6%
$1,392,718 거래량
$1,392,718 거래량
2027.12.31
모건 스탠리
$332,905 거래량
45%
골드만삭스
$243,409 거래량
27%
뱅크 오브 아메리카
$68,203 거래량
18%
JPMorgan
$125,861 거래량
2%
Citigroup
$100,314 거래량
1%
도이체방크
$308,314 거래량
<1%
Barclays
$65,468 거래량
<1%
UBS
$90,498 거래량
<1%
웰스 파고
$57,744 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Morgan Stanley at 44.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster IPO—code-named Project Apex—with Goldman Sachs (26.5%) and Bank of America (18.1%) close behind, driven by the company's recent confidential SEC filing and assembly of a 21-bank syndicate lacking a traditional "lead left" position, opting instead for alphabetical listing. Morgan Stanley's edge stems from December reports naming it the frontrunner, its E*Trade unit's talks to spearhead retail share sales, and a fresh "Space 60" investment guide spotlighting the burgeoning space economy fueled by reusable rockets and Starlink satellite broadband. Recent developments include Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs crafting post-IPO stabilization strategies to curb selloffs, alongside plans for early June roadshows and investor site visits, amid a targeted mid-2026 listing at over $1.5 trillion valuation—though final roles remain fluid pending official disclosures.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
거래량
$1,392,718종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Morgan Stanley at 44.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster IPO—code-named Project Apex—with Goldman Sachs (26.5%) and Bank of America (18.1%) close behind, driven by the company's recent confidential SEC filing and assembly of a 21-bank syndicate lacking a traditional "lead left" position, opting instead for alphabetical listing. Morgan Stanley's edge stems from December reports naming it the frontrunner, its E*Trade unit's talks to spearhead retail share sales, and a fresh "Space 60" investment guide spotlighting the burgeoning space economy fueled by reusable rockets and Starlink satellite broadband. Recent developments include Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs crafting post-IPO stabilization strategies to curb selloffs, alongside plans for early June roadshows and investor site visits, amid a targeted mid-2026 listing at over $1.5 trillion valuation—though final roles remain fluid pending official disclosures.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,392,718종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Morgan Stanley at 44.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster IPO—code-named Project Apex—with Goldman Sachs (26.5%) and Bank of America (18.1%) close behind, driven by the company's recent confidential SEC filing and assembly of a 21-bank syndicate lacking a traditional "lead left" position, opting instead for alphabetical listing. Morgan Stanley's edge stems from December reports naming it the frontrunner, its E*Trade unit's talks to spearhead retail share sales, and a fresh "Space 60" investment guide spotlighting the burgeoning space economy fueled by reusable rockets and Starlink satellite broadband. Recent developments include Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs crafting post-IPO stabilization strategies to curb selloffs, alongside plans for early June roadshows and investor site visits, amid a targeted mid-2026 listing at over $1.5 trillion valuation—though final roles remain fluid pending official disclosures.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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