Mercedes holds a commanding 135-90 lead over Ferrari in the Constructors' Championship after the opening three Grands Prix in Australia, China, and Japan, fueling trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability for the title. Rookies Kimi Antonelli (72 points) and teammate George Russell (63) have dominated with multiple podiums and a win, leveraging Mercedes' superior adaptation to 2026's new active aero and sustainable power unit regulations. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc remains competitive but can't match the Silver Arrows' consistency, pricing them at 11%; McLaren (46 points) shows pace in qualifying yet reliability issues cap them at 8%. Red Bull's early DNFs and setup struggles relegate them to 1.5%, with the crowded midfield offering little upset threat barring major reliability shifts or regulation tweaks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트메르세데스 77%
페라리 11%
맥라렌 8.0%
레드불 레이싱 1.4%
$12,205,130 거래량
$12,205,130 거래량

메르세데스
77%

페라리
11%

맥라렌
8%

레드불 레이싱
1%

애스턴 마틴
1%

아우디
1%

윌리엄스
1%

캐딜락
1%

레이싱 불스
1%

하스
1%

알파인
1%
메르세데스 77%
페라리 11%
맥라렌 8.0%
레드불 레이싱 1.4%
$12,205,130 거래량
$12,205,130 거래량

메르세데스
77%

페라리
11%

맥라렌
8%

레드불 레이싱
1%

애스턴 마틴
1%

아우디
1%

윌리엄스
1%

캐딜락
1%

레이싱 불스
1%

하스
1%

알파인
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
마켓 개설일: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 135-90 lead over Ferrari in the Constructors' Championship after the opening three Grands Prix in Australia, China, and Japan, fueling trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability for the title. Rookies Kimi Antonelli (72 points) and teammate George Russell (63) have dominated with multiple podiums and a win, leveraging Mercedes' superior adaptation to 2026's new active aero and sustainable power unit regulations. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc remains competitive but can't match the Silver Arrows' consistency, pricing them at 11%; McLaren (46 points) shows pace in qualifying yet reliability issues cap them at 8%. Red Bull's early DNFs and setup struggles relegate them to 1.5%, with the crowded midfield offering little upset threat barring major reliability shifts or regulation tweaks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문