The CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance system's latest preliminary data through Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) reports a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population—the third highest since the 2010-2011 season—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 85–90 range in Week 16. This reflects the 2025-26 flu season's severity, with a peak weekly rate of 13.5 per 100,000 in early February amid widespread influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) activity, now tapering to minimal levels (Week 16 weekly rate estimated at 0.6 per 100,000). Final FluView confirmation expected soon could revise rates slightly due to reporting lags, though significant shifts are unlikely given stabilizing trends in prior weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 16, 2026?
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$10,331 거래량
$10,331 거래량
<80
No
80–85
No
85–90
Yes
90–95
No
95–100
No
100+
No
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$10,331 거래량
$10,331 거래량
<80
No
80–85
No
85–90
Yes
90–95
No
95–100
No
100+
No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
마켓 개설일: Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance system's latest preliminary data through Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) reports a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population—the third highest since the 2010-2011 season—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 85–90 range in Week 16. This reflects the 2025-26 flu season's severity, with a peak weekly rate of 13.5 per 100,000 in early February amid widespread influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) activity, now tapering to minimal levels (Week 16 weekly rate estimated at 0.6 per 100,000). Final FluView confirmation expected soon could revise rates slightly due to reporting lags, though significant shifts are unlikely given stabilizing trends in prior weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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