Recent escalation in Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, has lifted Brent crude and stoked inflation concerns, prompting markets to price in a potential 25-basis-point Fed rate hike by year-end rather than further easing. This dynamic has weighed on non-yielding gold, which recently touched a two-month low near $4,593 per ounce as of late May amid firmer Treasury yields and a resilient dollar. June CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, along with any FOMC communications, represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and real yields before month-end settlement. Structural central bank demand continues to provide a floor, yet short-term pricing remains sensitive to energy-driven inflation trajectories.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$85,899 거래량
2026.06.30
$8,000
1%
$7,000
1%
$6,500
2%
$6,200
1%
$6,000
2%
$5,800
3%
$5,600
6%
$5,400
6%
$5,200
6%
$5,000
13%
$4,800
26%
$4,600
48%
$85,899 거래량
$8,000
$3,112 거래량
1%
$7,000
$26,893 거래량
1%
$6,500
$3,074 거래량
2%
$6,200
$9,654 거래량
1%
$6,000
$4,745 거래량
2%
$5,800
$8,705 거래량
3%
$5,600
$2,678 거래량
6%
$5,400
$1,994 거래량
6%
$5,200
$3,582 거래량
6%
$5,000
$2,257 거래량
13%
$4,800
$8,681 거래량
26%
$4,600
$10,530 거래량
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent escalation in Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, has lifted Brent crude and stoked inflation concerns, prompting markets to price in a potential 25-basis-point Fed rate hike by year-end rather than further easing. This dynamic has weighed on non-yielding gold, which recently touched a two-month low near $4,593 per ounce as of late May amid firmer Treasury yields and a resilient dollar. June CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, along with any FOMC communications, represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and real yields before month-end settlement. Structural central bank demand continues to provide a floor, yet short-term pricing remains sensitive to energy-driven inflation trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
거래량
$85,899종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent escalation in Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, has lifted Brent crude and stoked inflation concerns, prompting markets to price in a potential 25-basis-point Fed rate hike by year-end rather than further easing. This dynamic has weighed on non-yielding gold, which recently touched a two-month low near $4,593 per ounce as of late May amid firmer Treasury yields and a resilient dollar. June CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, along with any FOMC communications, represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and real yields before month-end settlement. Structural central bank demand continues to provide a floor, yet short-term pricing remains sensitive to energy-driven inflation trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
거래량
$85,899종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETRecent escalation in Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, has lifted Brent crude and stoked inflation concerns, prompting markets to price in a potential 25-basis-point Fed rate hike by year-end rather than further easing. This dynamic has weighed on non-yielding gold, which recently touched a two-month low near $4,593 per ounce as of late May amid firmer Treasury yields and a resilient dollar. June CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, along with any FOMC communications, represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and real yields before month-end settlement. Structural central bank demand continues to provide a floor, yet short-term pricing remains sensitive to energy-driven inflation trajectories.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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