**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on July 2?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$189,319 거래량
$189,319 거래량
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$189,319 거래량
$189,319 거래량
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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