Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 30°C high in Ankara on June 17 because official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 30–31°C under clear, sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with model consensus from short-range forecasts showing peak afternoon temperatures near 30°C amid typical early-summer subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Historical June climatology for the region places average highs around 25–28°C, making the observed value a modest positive anomaly driven by stable high-pressure dominance. The only realistic challenges to this outcome would involve post hoc revisions to station data, instrument calibration errors at the primary Ankara reporting site, or an unusually sharp late-day temperature spike exceeding the recorded peak—none of which have materialized in preliminary reports.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on June 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 17?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$57,620 거래량
$57,620 거래량
2026.06.17
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$57,620 거래량
$57,620 거래량
2026.06.17
25°C or below
$854 거래량
No
26°C
$4,319 거래량
No
27°C
$3,706 거래량
No
28°C
$8,065 거래량
No
29°C
$9,890 거래량
No
30°C
$13,342 거래량
Yes
31°C
$8,225 거래량
No
32°C
$6,313 거래량
No
33°C
$2,191 거래량
No
34°C
$480 거래량
No
35°C or higher
$234 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 30°C high in Ankara on June 17 because official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 30–31°C under clear, sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with model consensus from short-range forecasts showing peak afternoon temperatures near 30°C amid typical early-summer subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Historical June climatology for the region places average highs around 25–28°C, making the observed value a modest positive anomaly driven by stable high-pressure dominance. The only realistic challenges to this outcome would involve post hoc revisions to station data, instrument calibration errors at the primary Ankara reporting site, or an unusually sharp late-day temperature spike exceeding the recorded peak—none of which have materialized in preliminary reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
거래량
$57,620종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 30°C high in Ankara on June 17 because official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 30–31°C under clear, sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with model consensus from short-range forecasts showing peak afternoon temperatures near 30°C amid typical early-summer subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Historical June climatology for the region places average highs around 25–28°C, making the observed value a modest positive anomaly driven by stable high-pressure dominance. The only realistic challenges to this outcome would involve post hoc revisions to station data, instrument calibration errors at the primary Ankara reporting site, or an unusually sharp late-day temperature spike exceeding the recorded peak—none of which have materialized in preliminary reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$57,620종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 30°C high in Ankara on June 17 because official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 30–31°C under clear, sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with model consensus from short-range forecasts showing peak afternoon temperatures near 30°C amid typical early-summer subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Historical June climatology for the region places average highs around 25–28°C, making the observed value a modest positive anomaly driven by stable high-pressure dominance. The only realistic challenges to this outcome would involve post hoc revisions to station data, instrument calibration errors at the primary Ankara reporting site, or an unusually sharp late-day temperature spike exceeding the recorded peak—none of which have materialized in preliminary reports.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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