Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Ankara's June 18 daily maximum near 28–29 °C under typical early-summer plateau conditions, with the 900 m elevation and continental regime limiting extremes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak convective showers can shift the precise peak by 1 °C, producing the near-even split between the 28 °C and 29 °C contracts. Historical June averages of 26–28 °C and current model consensus spreads underscore the genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive while suppressing probabilities beyond 30 °C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on June 18?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$91,195 거래량
$91,195 거래량
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$91,195 거래량
$91,195 거래량
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Ankara's June 18 daily maximum near 28–29 °C under typical early-summer plateau conditions, with the 900 m elevation and continental regime limiting extremes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak convective showers can shift the precise peak by 1 °C, producing the near-even split between the 28 °C and 29 °C contracts. Historical June averages of 26–28 °C and current model consensus spreads underscore the genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive while suppressing probabilities beyond 30 °C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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