Short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models place Ankara's June 25 daytime maximum near 28–30°C under mostly clear, dry early-summer conditions typical of the region. This consensus, aligned with climatological June averages of roughly 26–28°C and recent observed warming trends, concentrates trader probability on the 29–30°C outcomes. Small differences in afternoon heating, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal timing across model runs create the narrow spread separating 28°C from 31°C bins, while official Turkish Meteorological Service station measurements will determine exact resolution. Limited variability in guidance keeps extreme tails below 2% implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on June 25?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$76,192 거래량
$76,192 거래량
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$76,192 거래량
$76,192 거래량
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models place Ankara's June 25 daytime maximum near 28–30°C under mostly clear, dry early-summer conditions typical of the region. This consensus, aligned with climatological June averages of roughly 26–28°C and recent observed warming trends, concentrates trader probability on the 29–30°C outcomes. Small differences in afternoon heating, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal timing across model runs create the narrow spread separating 28°C from 31°C bins, while official Turkish Meteorological Service station measurements will determine exact resolution. Limited variability in guidance keeps extreme tails below 2% implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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