Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$73,001 거래량
$73,001 거래량
2026.05.06
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$73,001 거래량
$73,001 거래량
2026.05.06
7°C or below
$548 거래량
No
8°C
$384 거래량
No
9°C
$402 거래량
No
10°C
$754 거래량
No
11°C
$3,416 거래량
No
12°C
$5,347 거래량
No
13°C
$13,111 거래량
No
14°C
$8,764 거래량
No
15°C
$9,618 거래량
Yes
16°C
$14,585 거래량
No
17°C or higher
$16,072 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
거래량
$73,001종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$73,001종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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