Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source. At 14:50 local time, temperatures peaked near 18.8°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds (10 km/h), and 40% humidity, with hourly forecasts showing a steady decline to 16°C by late afternoon and 11°C overnight, consistent with lingering effects of an early May Arctic airmass that suppressed highs to 8–10°C on May 3–4. Model consensus from short-range ECMWF and GFS runs projected no further intensification, as upper-level trough departure remains slow. Realistic challenges would require anomalous solar heating from unexpected clearing or station data revisions, both improbable given current downward trajectory and climatological May norms around 20°C. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on May 7?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 7?
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$70,131 거래량
$70,131 거래량
2026.05.07
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$70,131 거래량
$70,131 거래량
2026.05.07
12°C or below
$2,206 거래량
No
13°C
$1,098 거래량
No
14°C
$1,112 거래량
No
15°C
$2,449 거래량
No
16°C
$5,324 거래량
No
17°C
$18,121 거래량
No
18°C
$11,156 거래량
No
19°C
$7,745 거래량
Yes
20°C
$9,431 거래량
No
21°C
$5,725 거래량
No
22°C or higher
$5,763 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source. At 14:50 local time, temperatures peaked near 18.8°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds (10 km/h), and 40% humidity, with hourly forecasts showing a steady decline to 16°C by late afternoon and 11°C overnight, consistent with lingering effects of an early May Arctic airmass that suppressed highs to 8–10°C on May 3–4. Model consensus from short-range ECMWF and GFS runs projected no further intensification, as upper-level trough departure remains slow. Realistic challenges would require anomalous solar heating from unexpected clearing or station data revisions, both improbable given current downward trajectory and climatological May norms around 20°C. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
거래량
$70,131종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source. At 14:50 local time, temperatures peaked near 18.8°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds (10 km/h), and 40% humidity, with hourly forecasts showing a steady decline to 16°C by late afternoon and 11°C overnight, consistent with lingering effects of an early May Arctic airmass that suppressed highs to 8–10°C on May 3–4. Model consensus from short-range ECMWF and GFS runs projected no further intensification, as upper-level trough departure remains slow. Realistic challenges would require anomalous solar heating from unexpected clearing or station data revisions, both improbable given current downward trajectory and climatological May norms around 20°C. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$70,131종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source. At 14:50 local time, temperatures peaked near 18.8°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds (10 km/h), and 40% humidity, with hourly forecasts showing a steady decline to 16°C by late afternoon and 11°C overnight, consistent with lingering effects of an early May Arctic airmass that suppressed highs to 8–10°C on May 3–4. Model consensus from short-range ECMWF and GFS runs projected no further intensification, as upper-level trough departure remains slow. Realistic challenges would require anomalous solar heating from unexpected clearing or station data revisions, both improbable given current downward trajectory and climatological May norms around 20°C. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문