Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on May 9?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,988 거래량
$67,988 거래량
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,988 거래량
$67,988 거래량
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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