Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a verified maximum of 92°F on June 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the 92-93°F market bin and driving its 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early-June climatology in Central Texas, where average daily highs reach 93-94°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging, though a passing cold front and associated cloud cover moderated peak heating by roughly 1-2°F below the seasonal norm. Traders priced in this consensus based on real-time model guidance and station data from NOAA. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction, post hoc data revision, or resolution to a non-KAUS station could realistically alter the result, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS climatological reports.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on June 14?
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$64,951 거래량
$64,951 거래량
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$64,951 거래량
$64,951 거래량
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a verified maximum of 92°F on June 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the 92-93°F market bin and driving its 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early-June climatology in Central Texas, where average daily highs reach 93-94°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging, though a passing cold front and associated cloud cover moderated peak heating by roughly 1-2°F below the seasonal norm. Traders priced in this consensus based on real-time model guidance and station data from NOAA. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction, post hoc data revision, or resolution to a non-KAUS station could realistically alter the result, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS climatological reports.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문