Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on June 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 23?
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$27,957 거래량
$27,957 거래량
2026.06.23
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$27,957 거래량
$27,957 거래량
2026.06.23
85°F or below
$0 거래량
No
86-87°F
$501 거래량
No
88-89°F
$1,171 거래량
No
90-91°F
$2,222 거래량
No
92-93°F
$7,039 거래량
Yes
94-95°F
$4,943 거래량
No
96-97°F
$5,113 거래량
No
98-99°F
$5,056 거래량
No
100-101°F
$1,709 거래량
No
102-103°F
$197 거래량
No
104°F or higher
$5 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ET
거래량
$27,957종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$27,957종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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