Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on June 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 5?
86-87°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$53,882 거래량
$53,882 거래량
2026.06.05
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$53,882 거래량
$53,882 거래량
2026.06.05
69°F or below
$2,182 거래량
No
70-71°F
$379 거래량
No
72-73°F
$4,048 거래량
No
74-75°F
$1,894 거래량
No
76-77°F
$648 거래량
No
78-79°F
$2,589 거래량
No
80-81°F
$9,907 거래량
No
82-83°F
$4,397 거래량
No
84-85°F
$8,727 거래량
No
86-87°F
$8,903 거래량
Yes
88°F or higher
$10,208 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
거래량
$53,882종료일
2026.06.05마켓 개설일
Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$53,882종료일
2026.06.05마켓 개설일
Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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