National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on May 10?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 10?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$149,058 거래량
$149,058 거래량
2026.05.10
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$149,058 거래량
$149,058 거래량
2026.05.10
55°F or below
$20,499 거래량
No
56-57°F
$11,632 거래량
No
58-59°F
$9,390 거래량
No
60-61°F
$4,425 거래량
No
62-63°F
$9,664 거래량
No
64-65°F
$7,824 거래량
No
66-67°F
$10,704 거래량
No
68-69°F
$12,256 거래량
No
70-71°F
$13,421 거래량
No
72-73°F
$17,354 거래량
No
74°F or higher
$31,890 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$149,058종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$149,058종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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