Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on May 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 24?
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$37,087 거래량
$37,087 거래량
2026.05.24
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
Yes
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$37,087 거래량
$37,087 거래량
2026.05.24
57°F or below
$3,879 거래량
No
58-59°F
$1,428 거래량
No
60-61°F
$781 거래량
No
62-63°F
$1,908 거래량
No
64-65°F
$3,966 거래량
No
66-67°F
$2,258 거래량
No
68-69°F
$1,113 거래량
No
70-71°F
$1,537 거래량
No
72-73°F
$4,405 거래량
No
74-75°F
$6,343 거래량
No
76°F or higher
$9,467 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
거래량
$37,087종료일
2026.05.24마켓 개설일
May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$37,087종료일
2026.05.24마켓 개설일
May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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