Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on May 8?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 8?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$99,745 거래량
$99,745 거래량
2026.05.08
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$99,745 거래량
$99,745 거래량
2026.05.08
71°F or below
$16,190 거래량
No
72-73°F
$7,550 거래량
No
74-75°F
$10,157 거래량
No
76-77°F
$6,092 거래량
No
78-79°F
$13,285 거래량
No
80-81°F
$7,362 거래량
Yes
82-83°F
$8,719 거래량
No
84-85°F
$7,154 거래량
No
86-87°F
$8,634 거래량
No
88-89°F
$7,559 거래량
No
90°F or higher
$7,042 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
거래량
$99,745종료일
2026.05.08마켓 개설일
May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$99,745종료일
2026.05.08마켓 개설일
May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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