Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on April 30?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 30?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$109,734 거래량
$109,734 거래량
2026.04.30
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$109,734 거래량
$109,734 거래량
2026.04.30
25°C or below
$10,076 거래량
No
26°C
$16,903 거래량
No
27°C
$22,629 거래량
No
28°C
$11,554 거래량
Yes
29°C
$8,413 거래량
No
30°C
$7,062 거래량
No
31°C
$9,049 거래량
No
32°C
$5,103 거래량
No
33°C
$5,003 거래량
No
34°C
$5,151 거래량
No
35°C or higher
$8,792 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
거래량
$109,734종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$109,734종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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