Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on July 9?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 9?
33°C 32%
32°C 29%
34°C 16.5%
31°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.07.09
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
29%
33°C
32%
34°C
17%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
32°C 29%
34°C 16.5%
31°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.07.09
27°C or below
$383 거래량
<1%
28°C
$22 거래량
1%
29°C
$60 거래량
1%
30°C
$9 거래량
4%
31°C
$8 거래량
10%
32°C
$280 거래량
29%
33°C
$32 거래량
32%
34°C
$5 거래량
17%
35°C
$1 거래량
7%
36°C
$5 거래량
4%
37°C or higher
$20 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$825종료일
2026.07.09마켓 개설일
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$825종료일
2026.07.09마켓 개설일
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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