Official meteorological forecasts from Chinese authorities project a maximum of 29°C in Beijing on June 3 amid thunderstorms and associated cloud cover, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s near-certain consensus on 30°C or below. This aligns with typical early-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 30°C but can be suppressed by convective activity and reduced solar insolation. Model consensus supports limited warming potential given the expected storm pattern and steering flow. A clear-sky breakout allowing greater surface heating or a delayed frontal passage could theoretically push readings above 30°C, though current observations and short-term guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on June 3?
30°C or below 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$144,676 거래량
$144,676 거래량
30°C or below
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
30°C or below 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$144,676 거래량
$144,676 거래량
30°C or below
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Official meteorological forecasts from Chinese authorities project a maximum of 29°C in Beijing on June 3 amid thunderstorms and associated cloud cover, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s near-certain consensus on 30°C or below. This aligns with typical early-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 30°C but can be suppressed by convective activity and reduced solar insolation. Model consensus supports limited warming potential given the expected storm pattern and steering flow. A clear-sky breakout allowing greater surface heating or a delayed frontal passage could theoretically push readings above 30°C, though current observations and short-term guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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