Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on May 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 23?
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$73,981 거래량
$73,981 거래량
2026.05.23
26°C or below
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$73,981 거래량
$73,981 거래량
2026.05.23
26°C or below
$21,072 거래량
Yes
27°C
$17,075 거래량
No
28°C
$12,575 거래량
No
29°C
$8,760 거래량
No
30°C
$4,739 거래량
No
31°C
$3,366 거래량
No
32°C
$1,818 거래량
No
33°C
$1,103 거래량
No
34°C
$883 거래량
No
35°C
$868 거래량
No
36°C or higher
$1,723 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
거래량
$73,981종료일
2026.05.23마켓 개설일
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$73,981종료일
2026.05.23마켓 개설일
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Current meteorological forecasts from China's official monitoring agencies project a cooler-than-average spring day in Beijing on May 23, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a daily maximum at or below 26°C. This positions the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the leading outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime warming. Historical May highs typically reach 26–30°C, making today's conditions an outlier driven by short-term synoptic influences. While forecast revisions remain possible before the end of the observation period, the convergence of multiple model runs and on-site data substantially reduces uncertainty around exceeding the threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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