Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on May 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 3?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,810 거래량
$155,810 거래량
2026.05.03
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,810 거래량
$155,810 거래량
2026.05.03
17°C or below
$3,964 거래량
No
18°C
$5,883 거래량
No
19°C
$23,349 거래량
No
20°C
$25,078 거래량
No
21°C
$27,942 거래량
No
22°C
$22,234 거래량
Yes
23°C
$18,026 거래량
No
24°C
$8,090 거래량
No
25°C
$8,197 거래량
No
26°C
$5,830 거래량
No
27°C or higher
$7,216 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
거래량
$155,810종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$155,810종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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