Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on May 9?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 9?
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$120,799 거래량
$120,799 거래량
2026.05.09
22°C or below
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$120,799 거래량
$120,799 거래량
2026.05.09
22°C or below
$18,064 거래량
Yes
23°C
$19,717 거래량
No
24°C
$12,951 거래량
No
25°C
$10,871 거래량
No
26°C
$9,026 거래량
No
27°C
$10,681 거래량
No
28°C
$10,146 거래량
No
29°C
$8,272 거래량
No
30°C
$8,628 거래량
No
31°C
$4,964 거래량
No
32°C or higher
$7,479 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
거래량
$120,799종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$120,799종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문