**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 4?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$66,854 거래량
$66,854 거래량
2026.05.04
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$66,854 거래량
$66,854 거래량
2026.05.04
15°C or below
$3,305 거래량
No
16°C
$1,347 거래량
No
17°C
$2,065 거래량
No
18°C
$2,875 거래량
No
19°C
$5,193 거래량
No
20°C
$12,089 거래량
No
21°C
$8,684 거래량
No
22°C
$9,605 거래량
Yes
23°C
$11,657 거래량
No
24°C
$6,997 거래량
No
25°C or higher
$3,037 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
거래량
$66,854종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$66,854종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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