Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 9?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 9?
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$58,625 거래량
$58,625 거래량
2026.05.09
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$58,625 거래량
$58,625 거래량
2026.05.09
6°C or below
$2,679 거래량
No
7°C
$1,126 거래량
No
8°C
$3,503 거래량
No
9°C
$5,212 거래량
No
10°C
$7,879 거래량
No
11°C
$5,375 거래량
No
12°C
$5,017 거래량
No
13°C
$6,948 거래량
Yes
14°C
$5,572 거래량
No
15°C
$6,898 거래량
No
16°C or higher
$8,416 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$58,625종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$58,625종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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