Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Busan on June 15?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$52,395 거래량
$52,395 거래량
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$52,395 거래량
$52,395 거래량
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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