Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Busan on May 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 12?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$103,001 거래량
$103,001 거래량
2026.05.12
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$103,001 거래량
$103,001 거래량
2026.05.12
15°C or below
$1,843 거래량
No
16°C
$1,879 거래량
No
17°C
$8,162 거래량
No
18°C
$12,308 거래량
No
19°C
$10,839 거래량
No
20°C
$15,170 거래량
No
21°C
$12,024 거래량
Yes
22°C
$14,660 거래량
No
23°C
$7,712 거래량
No
24°C
$8,501 거래량
No
25°C or higher
$9,905 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
거래량
$103,001종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$103,001종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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