Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station—the market’s official resolution source—driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a precise daytime maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Midday observations reaching 22–23°C align with this trajectory, as persistent cloud cover limits solar heating despite 2026’s warmer-than-normal spring conditions, which have featured above-average early May temperatures. Historical May highs at Gimhae average 22–25°C, but today’s low 20% precipitation odds and coastal moderation reinforce the 24°C peak. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing toward 25°C or unforecast rain suppressing it below; final observations finalize late today.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Busan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 2?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$33,598 거래량
$33,598 거래량
2026.05.02
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$33,598 거래량
$33,598 거래량
2026.05.02
17°C or below
$2,033 거래량
No
18°C
$920 거래량
No
19°C
$1,994 거래량
No
20°C
$1,524 거래량
No
21°C
$2,830 거래량
No
22°C
$3,987 거래량
No
23°C
$2,666 거래량
No
24°C
$5,472 거래량
Yes
25°C
$2,921 거래량
No
26°C
$3,978 거래량
No
27°C or higher
$5,274 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station—the market’s official resolution source—driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a precise daytime maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Midday observations reaching 22–23°C align with this trajectory, as persistent cloud cover limits solar heating despite 2026’s warmer-than-normal spring conditions, which have featured above-average early May temperatures. Historical May highs at Gimhae average 22–25°C, but today’s low 20% precipitation odds and coastal moderation reinforce the 24°C peak. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing toward 25°C or unforecast rain suppressing it below; final observations finalize late today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
거래량
$33,598종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station—the market’s official resolution source—driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a precise daytime maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Midday observations reaching 22–23°C align with this trajectory, as persistent cloud cover limits solar heating despite 2026’s warmer-than-normal spring conditions, which have featured above-average early May temperatures. Historical May highs at Gimhae average 22–25°C, but today’s low 20% precipitation odds and coastal moderation reinforce the 24°C peak. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing toward 25°C or unforecast rain suppressing it below; final observations finalize late today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$33,598종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station—the market’s official resolution source—driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a precise daytime maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Midday observations reaching 22–23°C align with this trajectory, as persistent cloud cover limits solar heating despite 2026’s warmer-than-normal spring conditions, which have featured above-average early May temperatures. Historical May highs at Gimhae average 22–25°C, but today’s low 20% precipitation odds and coastal moderation reinforce the 24°C peak. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing toward 25°C or unforecast rain suppressing it below; final observations finalize late today.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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