Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations from Gimhae International Airport Station—the official resolution source—confirm Busan's high temperature peaked at 21°C this afternoon amid clear skies and light southwest winds, precisely matching short-range forecast model consensus released in the past 24 hours. This mild peak aligns with early May climatology for Busan, where average highs range 20–22°C under typical high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover, following cooler recent days with highs near 19°C. Trader-implied 100% probability on 21°C reflects this robust evidence-based consensus, with skin-in-the-game positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon solar heating spike before sunset or a rare observational revision, though KMA data updates later today will finalize the record.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Busan on May 5?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 5?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,530 거래량
$67,530 거래량
2026.05.05
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,530 거래량
$67,530 거래량
2026.05.05
14°C or below
$472 거래량
No
15°C
$685 거래량
No
16°C
$1,382 거래량
No
17°C
$2,061 거래량
No
18°C
$6,132 거래량
No
19°C
$7,067 거래량
No
20°C
$4,155 거래량
No
21°C
$7,990 거래량
Yes
22°C
$11,290 거래량
No
23°C
$12,718 거래량
No
24°C or higher
$13,577 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations from Gimhae International Airport Station—the official resolution source—confirm Busan's high temperature peaked at 21°C this afternoon amid clear skies and light southwest winds, precisely matching short-range forecast model consensus released in the past 24 hours. This mild peak aligns with early May climatology for Busan, where average highs range 20–22°C under typical high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover, following cooler recent days with highs near 19°C. Trader-implied 100% probability on 21°C reflects this robust evidence-based consensus, with skin-in-the-game positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon solar heating spike before sunset or a rare observational revision, though KMA data updates later today will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
거래량
$67,530종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations from Gimhae International Airport Station—the official resolution source—confirm Busan's high temperature peaked at 21°C this afternoon amid clear skies and light southwest winds, precisely matching short-range forecast model consensus released in the past 24 hours. This mild peak aligns with early May climatology for Busan, where average highs range 20–22°C under typical high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover, following cooler recent days with highs near 19°C. Trader-implied 100% probability on 21°C reflects this robust evidence-based consensus, with skin-in-the-game positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon solar heating spike before sunset or a rare observational revision, though KMA data updates later today will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$67,530종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations from Gimhae International Airport Station—the official resolution source—confirm Busan's high temperature peaked at 21°C this afternoon amid clear skies and light southwest winds, precisely matching short-range forecast model consensus released in the past 24 hours. This mild peak aligns with early May climatology for Busan, where average highs range 20–22°C under typical high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover, following cooler recent days with highs near 19°C. Trader-implied 100% probability on 21°C reflects this robust evidence-based consensus, with skin-in-the-game positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon solar heating spike before sunset or a rare observational revision, though KMA data updates later today will finalize the record.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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