Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,401 거래량
$54,401 거래량
2026.05.02
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,401 거래량
$54,401 거래량
2026.05.02
15°C or below
$4,081 거래량
No
16°C
$5,773 거래량
No
17°C
$8,358 거래량
No
18°C
$5,231 거래량
Yes
19°C
$3,433 거래량
No
20°C
$4,839 거래량
No
21°C
$5,457 거래량
No
22°C
$4,935 거래량
No
23°C
$4,608 거래량
No
24°C
$3,796 거래량
No
25°C or higher
$3,890 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
거래량
$54,401종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$54,401종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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