Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 17?
25°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,572 거래량
$67,572 거래량
24°C or below
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,572 거래량
$67,572 거래량
24°C or below
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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