Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 26?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$78,542 거래량
$78,542 거래량
2026.06.26
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$78,542 거래량
$78,542 거래량
2026.06.26
24°C or below
$5,211 거래량
No
25°C
$4,326 거래량
No
26°C
$4,788 거래량
No
27°C
$7,115 거래량
No
28°C
$7,781 거래량
No
29°C
$6,492 거래량
No
30°C
$11,278 거래량
No
31°C
$10,791 거래량
Yes
32°C
$5,871 거래량
No
33°C
$7,904 거래량
No
34°C or higher
$6,986 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$78,542종료일
2026.06.26마켓 개설일
Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$78,542종료일
2026.06.26마켓 개설일
Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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