Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 4?
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$106,786 거래량
$106,786 거래량
2026.06.04
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$106,786 거래량
$106,786 거래량
2026.06.04
30°C or below
$23,071 거래량
No
31°C
$24,259 거래량
No
32°C
$14,662 거래량
Yes
33°C
$8,231 거래량
No
34°C
$8,743 거래량
No
35°C
$7,518 거래량
No
36°C
$8,219 거래량
No
37°C
$6,411 거래량
No
38°C
$2,574 거래량
No
39°C
$2,158 거래량
No
40°C or higher
$940 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$106,786종료일
2026.06.04마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$106,786종료일
2026.06.04마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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