Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,352 거래량
$62,352 거래량
2026.05.01
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,352 거래량
$62,352 거래량
2026.05.01
12°C or below
$1,348 거래량
No
13°C
$959 거래량
No
14°C
$1,190 거래량
No
15°C
$570 거래량
No
16°C
$1,871 거래량
No
17°C
$1,114 거래량
No
18°C
$11,658 거래량
No
19°C
$18,281 거래량
No
20°C
$10,721 거래량
Yes
21°C
$6,430 거래량
No
22°C or higher
$8,210 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
거래량
$62,352종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$62,352종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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